Prediction of Fausto Tabacco vs Ibrahim Snoussi at M15 Monastir 17 Dec 2025

• Fausto Tabacco excels in recent second serve performance, winning 41.30% of points, compared to 31.62% for Ibrahim Snoussi. What could this mean for the match outcome? It suggests a potential edge for Tabacco.
• When returning second serves, Tabacco has a better percentage, claiming 50.71% of points against opponents, whereas Snoussi attains 41.84%. This advantage could influence the game's dynamics significantly.
• On first serve returns, Tabacco leads again, winning 31.83% compared to Snoussi's 25.83%, indicating a stronger responsive play.
• How do they handle pressure? Tabacco has a higher break point save rate at 52.65%, while Snoussi saves 45.16% of break points. This stat might be crucial in high-stakes moments.
• Over the past year, Tabacco maintains a superior match win percentage at 53.45% (31/27), versus Snoussi's 32.50% (13/27).
• Both players have their highest win rates on different surfaces. Tabacco thrives on Hard courts, achieving a 65% win rate, while Snoussi performs well on Clay, also with a 65% win rate.
• Fausto Tabacco mainly competes in Futures/Satellites/ITF tournaments $10K, with a win rate of 55.56%, in contrast to Snoussi’s 33.33% in the same tournaments, hinting at Tabacco's higher consistency at this level.
• Tabacco's last year's opponents had an average rank of 426.62, while Snoussi faced an average rank of 161.68, indicating Snoussi battled stronger opponents.
• In deciding sets over the last year, Tabacco has a 50% win rate, whereas Snoussi excels at 70%, which could tip the scales if the match is closely contested.
• Break point conversion rates also reveal Tabacco's edge, converting 35.33% compared to Snoussi's 30.56%.

Editorial Prediction (December 17, 2025, UTC):

As we analyze the comparative statistics for Fausto Tabacco and Ibrahim Snoussi, it becomes clear that Tabacco holds several advantages that could be decisive in their upcoming match.

Tabacco displays superior performance in serving and returning games, reflected in his higher point win percentages on both second serves and returns. Coupled with a stronger ability to save break points, he shows resilience under pressure.

Despite Snoussi's impressive ability to clinch deciding sets and experience against higher-ranked opponents, Tabacco’s overall consistency and success on his preferred surface suggest he has the upper hand.

Given these insights, Fausto Tabacco appears more likely to emerge victorious in this contest.